As the college football world eagerly awaits the playoff semifinals, the matchup between the #3 Texas Longhorns and the #2 Washington Huskies is generating significant buzz. With both teams boasting impressive records and statistical strengths, this showdown promises to be a battle of titans.
Team Records:
Texas: 12-1
Washington: 13-0
The Longhorns, with just one loss on their record to their rival Oklahoma. They face an undefeated Washington team, setting the stage for an intense semi-final clash.
Points Per Game (PPG):
Texas: 36.2
Washington: 37.7
Both teams showcase potent offenses, capable of putting up substantial points. The Huskies hold a slight advantage in average points per game, highlighting their scoring prowess.
Opponent Points Per Game (OPG):
Texas: 17.5
Washington: 23.6
Texas boasts a stingy defense, allowing only 17.5 points per game. Washington, while solid defensively, concedes a slightly higher average, suggesting potential opportunities for the Longhorns to capitalize.
Best Wins:
Texas: 57-7 victory vs. #35 Texas Tech
Washington: 56-19 triumph vs. #47 Boise State
Texas’s biggest victory according to the Aggregate was a 57-7 shellacking they gave to rival Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were rated the 35th best team in the country at that time and the Longhorns had no trouble with them. Washington’s largest victory came early in the year a 56-19 beat down of non-power 5 team Boise State. The Broncos at the time were ranked as the Aggregate’s 47th best team in the country.
Worst Games:
Texas: 31-24 victory at #58 Houston
Washington: 15-7 win vs. #105 Arizona State
Despite their impressive records, both teams have faced challenges in narrow victories against lower-ranked opponents. Texas had just a 7 point victory at #58 Houston who finished the season 4-8. Washington struggled to get by Arizona State who was ranked 105th in the country at that point. The Huskies won by just 8 points over a team that finished the season 3-9.
Aggregate Ratings:
Texas: 48.8
Washington: 44.0
Texas holds a slight edge in the aggregate rating making them a 4.8 favorite in this game.
Predicted Score:
Texas: 30
Washington: 24
The Aggregate sees Texas as slightly better than the Huskies. Predicted score is determined by teams points per game, points allowed per game and each teams Aggregate rating.
Vegas Odds:
Texas: -4 (Spread), -185 (Moneyline), Over/Under 63.5
Washington: +4 (Spread), +155 (Moneyline), Over/Under 63.5
The Vegas odds indicate a closely matched game, with Texas favored by a narrow margin. The Over/Under suggests a high-scoring affair.
Chance to Win:
Texas: 57.1%
Washington: 42.9%
The Aggregate ran 196 simulations between both teams and found that Texas won 112 times Washington 84 times. According to the Aggregate Texas has a 57 percent chance to win.
Consistency and Expectation:
Texas Consistency Rating: 44.1, Rank: 38th
Washington Consistency Rating: 54.1, Rank: 82nd
Texas boasts a lower consistency rating, reflecting their ability to deliver consistent performances throughout the season. This metric does not always show how good a team is, instead how often they perform at the same level.
Performance Against Preseason Expectation:
Texas: -2
Washington: -3.2
Neither team has quite met their Aggregate preseason expectation, but they’re not far off from it. In fact both are better than their preseason rank: Texas 8th:5th, Washington 17th:12th.
As the Texas Longhorns and Washington Huskies prepare to face off in this highly anticipated clash, college football fans can expect a thrilling contest with playoff implications on the line. The outcome of this semifinal promises to shape the narrative of the postseason and determine which team will advance to compete for the national championship.
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