The Aggregate predicts two upsets and is split on one game for this weekend. So far the Aggregate is 6-1 in bowl games.
The Aggregate sees Duke as the favorite against Troy. The Blue Devils have lost their coach for the game and that is likely why Vegas is favoring Troy by 7.5. It's important to remember the Aggregate doesn't factor in things like injuries, players sitting out or coaches leaving. It sees Duke as the favorite based on the games they've played this year. Do you think the Blue Devils can pull it off?
The Aggregates second upset pick is Northern Illinois over Arkansas State. The Huskies rate as a one point favorite according to the Aggregate algorithm while Vegas sees it the other way. Either way the Aggregate sees it as an extremely close match up giving the Huskies just a .6 percent better chance of winning than the Red Wolves. Do you think the Huskies pull the upset?
The Aggregate is split on a decision between Utah State and Georgia State. This happens because of how each measurement is determined. The predicted score is determined by the total of each value from each teams games in the season. The Chance to Win is determined by using each teams values for each game and comparing them to each other. For example in this determination the values for each team were compared 169 times and Georgia State had the higher value in 85 of those comparisons leading to a 50.3 percent chance to win. Either way the margin is very thin. Who do you like in this game?
What other game stands out to you? Do you disagree with the Aggregate?
