Bowl Week 2 Predictions

Predictions for Bowl Week 2. The Aggregate went 9-2 in first bowl week projections. This week there are no playoff games so we just look at the traditional bowl slate. The Aggregate likes three different upsets this week. We're giving Navy a slight edge over Oklahoma, Boston College a pretty good chance to beat Nebraska and  Miami a big chance to take down Iowa State. 

With injuries and opt outs we've actually just raised Navy's chance to win to 53.8%. We don't have the resources to be able to do automatic updates to the story yet, but after computing the latest that's the percentage. The Sooners have been hit hard by the transfer portal and we have them losing as much as 33% production from some of their games this season. Navy on the other hand has everyone including Blake Horvath, their starting quarterback, whom they were missing earlier in the season. 

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Boston College has been good to us all season at the Aggregate. Vegas and others continue to under value the Eagles and this bowl season is no different. The opening line for the BC vs. Nebraska game made Boston College a 2.5 point underdog, but the data tells us that the Eagles have almost a 60% chance to win. Both of these teams have a reputation for beating bad teams this year and losing to good teams. Four of Boston College's losses were to teams ranked 32nd or higher. Five of Nebraska's losses were to teams ranked 34th or higher. 

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Lastly the data likes Miami (FL) over Iowa State. The Canes have been an offensive juggernaut this season, but have done a poor job of stopping their opponents. Iowa State conversely is only giving up 21 points per game. However, in three games this season Iowa State has given up 35 points or more and have gone 1-2 in those contests. That is how the Aggregate see's this game playing out, a 42-33 high scoring loss for State.  

                                             

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays from the Aggregate!

Coastal Carolina	6-6	37	44.4%	+6.5		+190
Texas-San Antonio	6-6	39	55.6%	-6.5	57.5	-230
Northern Illinois	7-5	26	36.7%	-1.5		-120
Fresno State	6-6	28	63.3%	+1.5	42	even
South Florida	6-6	43	52.1%	+2.5		+114
San Jose State	7-5	42	47.9%	-2.5	63.5	-135
Pittsburgh	7-5	34	76.3%	-9.5		-325
Toledo	7-5	21	23.7%	+9.5	51.5	+260
Rutgers	7-5	28	33.7%	+6.5		+190
Kansas State	8-4	35	66.3%	-6.5	50.5	-230
Arkansas State	7-5	25	29.0%	+6.5		+185
Bowling Green	7-5	38	71.0%	-6.5	49.5	-225
Oklahoma	6-6	36	49.1%	-9.0		-305
Navy	9-3	33	50.9%	+9.0	46.5	+245
Georgia Tech	7-5	31	59.8%	-2.5		-130
Vanderbilt	6-6	27	40.2%	+2.5	54.5	+110
Texas Tech	8-4	36	36.7%	+2.5		+110
Arkansas	6-6	42	63.3%	-2.5	59.5	-130
Syracuse	9-3	35	82.8%	-5.5		-218
Washington State	8-4	20	17.2%	+5.5	60.5	+180
Texas A&M	8-4	33	55.0%	-1.0		-115
Southern California	6-6	31	45.0%	+1.0	50.5	-105
Connecticut	8-4	40	48.5%	+5.5		+170
North Carolina	6-6	37	51.5%	-5.5	56.5	-205
Boston College	7-5	31	59.8%	+2.5		+110
Nebraska	6-6	26	40.2%	-2.5	45.5	-130
Louisiana	10-3	24	27.5%	+8.5		+270
Texas Christian	8-4	33	72.5%	-8.5	60.5	-340
Iowa State	10-3	33	34.1%	-1.0		-115
Miami (FL)	10-2	42	65.9%	+1.0	53.5	-105
Miami (OH)	8-5	32	53.8%	-1.5		-118
Colorado State	8-4	27	46.2%	+1.5	43.5	-102
East Carolina	7-5	25	26.0%	+5.0		+170
North Carolina State	6-6	37	74.0%	-5.0	59.5	-205
Brigham Young	10-2	31	48.5%	+2.5		+110
Colorado	9-3	35	51.5%	-2.5	54.5	-130
Louisiana Tech	5-8	9	14.3%	+16.5		+525
Army	11-2	30	85.7%	-16.5	43.5	-750