End of Year Top 25 Rankings

End of year top 25 rankings. After the bowl season teams moved around a lot. Ohio State climbs to the top. Arizona State was our biggest climber. Colorado had our biggest drop. We have five teams in the exact same spot as the AP and we have three teams ranked that the AP couldn't find space for. Florida is our biggest disagreement with the AP ranking 18 spots higher in our ranking than theirs. 

It doesn't always happen with the Aggregate rankings and the eventual national championship, but this year the algorithm agrees with what happened on the field. Ohio State was rated the nations best team according to the data with Notre Dame second. The Buckeyes were highly rated all season by the numbers, but really came into their own at the end. Ohio State started ranked 4th in our system and never went above 9th on the season. 

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Arizona State was our biggest climber this week rising eight spots. The Sun Devils showed a lot in the college football playoffs and were one of the years best stories. We had them ranked as the 85th best team in the country to start the year and their change of 72 places was the best for any team this season. 

The Colorado Buffaloes had the most precipitous drop this week. The Buffaloes retained almost all their star players for their matchup with BYU and the Aggregate had them as a 4 point favorite, but BYU took it to them winning the Alamo bowl 36-14. 

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We have three teams ranked in our final 25 that the AP couldn't find space for even in their receiving votes. The numbers tell us that Iowa, USC and Minnesota all our top 25 teams in the country even though their records are not as sexy. The Hawkeyes reason for being so high was some good wins against edge top 25 schools. They beat teams ranked 32, 28 and 25 by a combined 73 points. USC was helped by two things. The Trojans bookended their season with a victory over top 25 schools and then all of their losses sans Notre Dame were by single digits. Minnesota started the season 2-3, but finished the year 6-2 with wins over two top 25 schools. 

The numbers tell us that the Florida Gators are a much better team than 33rd in the country. The Gators went up as high as 53rd during the season, but their improved performance over the latter part of the season has us putting them all the way at 15th. Florida beat LSU, Ole Miss, Florida State and then Tulane to finish the season. State not withstanding those other wins were very impressive and moved Florida up high on our list.

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	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	AP Ranking
1	Ohio State	14-2	+2	53.3	1
2	Notre Dame	14-2	-1	51.8	2
3	Texas	13-3	-1	48.6	4
4	Mississippi	10-3	0	48.3	11
5	Penn State	13-3	+3	45.9	5
6	Alabama	9-4	-1	45.7	17
7	Oregon	13-1	0	45.1	3
8	Tennessee	10-3	-2	44.7	9
9	Indiana	11-2	0	44.5	10
10	Georgia	11-3	+1	44.1	6
11	Miami (FL)	10-3	-1	43.4	18
12	Louisville	9-4	0	39.4	28
13	Arizona State	11-3	+8	39.0	7
14	Clemson	10-4	+2	38.1	14
15	Florida	8-5	+7	37.9	33
16	South Carolina	9-4	-2	37.9	19
17	Iowa	8-5	-2	37.6	NR
18	Louisiana State	9-4	+1	37.6	27
19	Southern Methodist	11-3	-6	37.4	12
20	Southern California	7-6	-2	37.2	NR
21	Michigan	8-5	+3	36.9	29
22	Minnesota	8-5	+4	36.4	NR
23	Texas A&M	8-5	-3	36.3	35
24	Brigham Young	11-2	+4	35.9	13
25	Colorado	9-4	-8	35.5	25
134	Kent State	0-12	-	-16.0	NR

Top 25 Rankings Post Week 3

               

         

The Aggregate's second Top 25 and 1 rankings of the season are out. Texas claims the new top spot. Despite losing Quinn Ewers the Longhorns topped UTSA 56-7. The Roadrunners were the 103rd ranked team coming into the week, but the lopsided victory still helped Texas surpass Tennessee this week. 

The aggregate had four teams who moved eight spots this week. Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Louisiana State, and Missouri all notched big victories. Notre Dame crushed 78th ranked Purdue 66-7. Texas A&M won at the swamp beating 43rd ranked Florida 33-20. LSU won a hotly contested contest at 22nd ranked South Carolina vaulting them back into the top 25. Missouri came back and beat 13th ranked Boston College propelling them back into the top 25.  All of these are interesting although for the eye test we think the Aggregate might have been rating Florida and Boston College too high. 

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The biggest drops this week went to Georgia, Utah and Central Florida. All of whom dropped four spots. All three teams won, but their games were much closer than the Aggregate expected. Georgia beat 63rd ranked Kentucky by one point. The Aggregate expected them to win by 18. Utah beat 113th ranked Utah State 38-21 in what was a one possession game until the 4th quarter. UCF beat 58th ranked TCU 35-34. 

Both Michigan and South Carolina dropped out of the power ranking. Carolina is referenced above, but Michigan had a lackluster performance at home against 119th ranked Arkansas State, winning 28-18.

The Aggregate included two teams in the top 25 that did not receive any votes in the AP list Baylor (2-1) and Georgia Tech (3-1). Baylor has a 2-1 record and a +19.7 average point differential against the 26th hardest schedule so far this year and Tech is 3-1 with a +18.8 point differential against the 21st hardest schedule. The Tech schedule is assuming that Florida State was actually a good team which has yet to be shown, but it also points out that Tech's loss was really not that bad. The Aggregate has Syracuse as it's 29th best team in the FBS. 

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	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	AP Ranking
1	Texas	3-0	+1	57.2	1
2	Tennessee	3-0	-1	56.7	6
3	Alabama	3-0	+1	53.3	4
4	Ohio State	2-0	-1	52.7	3
5	Miami (FL)	3-0	+1	52.2	8
6	Mississippi	3-0	-1	51.5	5
7	Notre Dame	2-1	+8	48.3	17
8	Southern California	2-0	0	45.2	11
9	Penn State	2-0	0	44.9	10
10	Oregon	3-0	+7	43.5	9
11	Georgia	3-0	-4	42.9	2
12	Clemson	1-1	0	40.9	21
13	Louisville	2-0	+1	40.4	19
14	Utah	3-0	-4	39.6	12
15	Central Florida	3-0	-4	38.8	38
16	Boston College	2-1	-3	38.7	30
17	Texas A&M	2-1	+8	37.7	25
18	Oklahoma	3-0	0	37.4	15
19	Kansas State	3-0	+1	37.3	13
20	Louisiana State	2-1	+8	36.7	16
21	Baylor	2-1	+3	36.5	#N/A
22	Georgia Tech	3-1	-3	35.9	#N/A
23	Oklahoma State	3-0	-2	35.5	14
24	Missouri	3-0	+8	35.3	7
25	Iowa	2-1	-2	35.2	33
133	Kent State	0-3	0	-12.5	#N/A