Aggregate Prediction Decemeber 23rd Bowls

 The Aggregate predicts two upsets and is split on one game for this weekend. So far the Aggregate is 6-1 in bowl games. 

The Aggregate sees Duke as the favorite against Troy. The Blue Devils have lost their coach for the game and that is likely why Vegas is favoring Troy by 7.5. It's important to remember the Aggregate doesn't factor in things like injuries, players sitting out or coaches leaving. It sees Duke as the favorite based on the games they've played this year. Do you think the Blue Devils can pull it off? 

The Aggregates second upset pick is Northern Illinois over Arkansas State. The Huskies rate as a one point favorite according to the Aggregate algorithm while Vegas sees it the other way. Either way the Aggregate sees it as an extremely close match up giving the Huskies just a .6 percent better chance of winning than the Red Wolves. Do you think the Huskies pull the upset?

The Aggregate is split on a decision between Utah State and Georgia State. This happens because of how each measurement is determined. The predicted score is determined by the total of each value from each teams games in the season. The Chance to Win is determined by using each teams values for each game and comparing them to each other. For example in this determination the values for each team were compared 169 times and Georgia State had the higher value in 85 of those comparisons leading to a 50.3 percent chance to win. Either way the margin is very thin. Who do you like in this game?

What other game stands out to you? Do you disagree with the Aggregate? 

Aggregate Predictions for Bowl Week 1

 The Aggregate see's two upsets in the first week of bowl matchups. It predicts (9-3) Ohio will upset favored (6-6) Georgia Southern by a score of 27-24. The Ealges are favored in the game by 3.5 points. The other upset the Aggregate predicts is the (8-4) Fresno State Bulldogs taking down the (10-4) New Mexico State Aggies 27-24. The Aggies are a 3 point favorite. What do you think about this weekend's matchups? 

Army Navy Game Aggregate Preview

The Historic Army-Navy Game

By: John Smith

The Army-Navy game, steeped in tradition and history, is set to unfold with both teams entering the field at 5-6, adding an extra layer of intensity to this already fierce rivalry. As the two service academies prepare to face off, the aggregate metric predicts a tight battle, foreseeing a 21-20 victory for Army with a 53.5 percent chance of success. Vegas, too, has thrown its weight behind Army, designating them as a two-point favorite.

When analyzing the statistics, Army's offense seems to lack punch. The team averages 21 points per game. And they may struggle to score against a Navy defense that concedes an average of 23 points per game.

In wins, Army's offensive capabilities soar, averaging an impressive 32 points per game. Conversely, Navy’s defense struggles in losses, allowing opponents to score an average of 37 points per game.

The aggregate's high point prediction paints an intriguing picture: a potential 35-31 victory for Army. That total would far overcome the Vegas spread which is just 27.5 points for the game. This suggests that both teams have the capability to showcase their offensive strength, setting the stage for a high-scoring showdown.

Key Wins and Losses:

Examining the season's highlights and low points adds context to the upcoming game. Army's standout victory came in a hard-fought battle at UTSA, securing a 37-29 win. The Aggregate ranks UTSA as the 53rd best team in the country, emphasizing the significance of this win for Army.

On the other hand, Navy's most notable win was a commanding 31-6 victory over UAB. However, the Aggregate places UAB at 113th in the country, raising questions about the strength of Navy's competition.

When it comes to setbacks, Army faced a tough defeat at the hands of LSU, a team currently ranked 8th by the Aggregate. The 62-0 loss highlighted the challenges Army can encounter against top-tier opponents.

Navy's worst loss came in a 32-18 defeat at the hands of Temple, a team ranked 127th by the Aggregate. This loss raises concerns about Navy's ability to withstand pressure even against lower-ranked opponents.

As the Army-Navy game unfolds, the 5-6 records of both teams add an element of unpredictability to this historic clash. The aggregate metric favors Army with a slim margin, while Vegas designates them as a two-point favorite. The game promises to be a test of strength and strategy, with both teams eager to etch their names in the annals of this storied rivalry. The historic Army-Navy game remains a spectacle, showcasing the resilience and determination of two elite military academies on the football field.

This article was written with the assistance of ChatGPT.

Aggregate What If Conference Championship games

 The Aggregate's "what if" championship week prediction. Did your team not play up to its potential this week? Or maybe they had a tougher schedule than the teams in playing in the championship game? Well this is the Aggregates "what if" prediction for each conference championship. Instead of taking the teams that actually made it to the game we took the teams that the Aggregate said were the best two teams in that conference and predicted what would happen if they played. Some games stayed the same. Some changed one opponent. The Aggregate believes the best team in the Mountain West got left out of the championship game. 

College Football Championship Week Predictions

Aggregate championship week predictions. Upsets this week Alabama over Georgia and SMU over Tulane. The difference between Bama and Georgia in the Aggregate algorithm is just .4 points so really the Aggregate sees it as a toss up game. That's why Alabama's chance of winning is just 50.3 %. SMU on the other hand the Aggregate likes a lot. The Mustangs have been rated near or in the Aggregate's Top 25 all year and they have continued to impress. The algorithm likes SMU by 8.9 points better than the Green Wave. Do you agree? What other upsets do you see happening? Comment below.