Top 25 Rankings Week 6

 

Top 25 rankings for week six from the Aggregate. There is a new number one team. Tennessee takes the top spot from Texas after the Longhorns didn't play as well as expected against Mississippi State. The Volunteers have been at the top spot earlier this season and now have gotten back there again.

Biggest climber this week was UNLV. The Aggregate hadn't really favored the Rebels this season because despite having a 3-0 start they had a poorer strength of schedule, but Saturday's big victory against Fresno State changed that. UNLV won by 45 in a game in which the Aggregate saw it as a pick'em.

Our biggest dropper this week was the Utah Utes. The Utes struggled without Cam Rising and lost to Arizona. The Aggregate responded by dropping them 9 spots. All the way down to #23. 

Probably the most surprising team on the list is the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Tech was off this week and is only 3-2 on the season, but still ranks 23rd in the Aggregate's index. Most likely it was Georgia Tech's week 0 victory that has kept them up here although in hindsight Florida State looks like they're not a very good team. The Yellow Jackets have been in all their losses though so the data hasn't dropped them off the map completely. 

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	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	AP Ranking
1	Tennessee	4-0	+1	55.7	4
2	Texas	5-0	-1	54.6	2
3	Alabama	4-0	+1	52.6	1
4	Ohio State	4-0	+2	52.4	3
5	Miami (FL)	5-0	-2	50.5	8
6	Mississippi	4-1	-1	47.3	12
7	Notre Dame	4-1	0	46.6	14
8	Georgia	3-1	+3	44.0	5
9	Penn State	4-0	-1	43.8	7
10	Oregon	4-0	-1	43.3	6
11	Southern California	3-1	-1	42.6	11
12	Clemson	3-1	0	42.3	15
13	Louisville	3-1	0	41.5	22
14	Oklahoma	4-1	+2	38.6	19
15	Iowa	3-1	+2	38.2	30
16	Louisiana State	4-1	+5	37.1	13
17	Texas A&M	4-1	+1	36.6	T-25
18	Michigan	4-1	+2	35.5	10
19	Georgia Tech	3-2	+3	35.3	NR
20	South Carolina	3-1	+4	35.0	33
21	Indiana	5-0	+6	35.0	23
22	Nevada-Las Vegas	4-0	+31	34.6	T-25
23	Utah	4-1	-9	34.5	18
24	Kentucky	3-2	+15	34.4	35
25	Iowa State	4-0	+4	34.3	33
133	Kent State	0-5	0	-12.1	#N/A

Top 25 Rankings Post Week 3

               

         

The Aggregate's second Top 25 and 1 rankings of the season are out. Texas claims the new top spot. Despite losing Quinn Ewers the Longhorns topped UTSA 56-7. The Roadrunners were the 103rd ranked team coming into the week, but the lopsided victory still helped Texas surpass Tennessee this week. 

The aggregate had four teams who moved eight spots this week. Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Louisiana State, and Missouri all notched big victories. Notre Dame crushed 78th ranked Purdue 66-7. Texas A&M won at the swamp beating 43rd ranked Florida 33-20. LSU won a hotly contested contest at 22nd ranked South Carolina vaulting them back into the top 25. Missouri came back and beat 13th ranked Boston College propelling them back into the top 25.  All of these are interesting although for the eye test we think the Aggregate might have been rating Florida and Boston College too high. 

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The biggest drops this week went to Georgia, Utah and Central Florida. All of whom dropped four spots. All three teams won, but their games were much closer than the Aggregate expected. Georgia beat 63rd ranked Kentucky by one point. The Aggregate expected them to win by 18. Utah beat 113th ranked Utah State 38-21 in what was a one possession game until the 4th quarter. UCF beat 58th ranked TCU 35-34. 

Both Michigan and South Carolina dropped out of the power ranking. Carolina is referenced above, but Michigan had a lackluster performance at home against 119th ranked Arkansas State, winning 28-18.

The Aggregate included two teams in the top 25 that did not receive any votes in the AP list Baylor (2-1) and Georgia Tech (3-1). Baylor has a 2-1 record and a +19.7 average point differential against the 26th hardest schedule so far this year and Tech is 3-1 with a +18.8 point differential against the 21st hardest schedule. The Tech schedule is assuming that Florida State was actually a good team which has yet to be shown, but it also points out that Tech's loss was really not that bad. The Aggregate has Syracuse as it's 29th best team in the FBS. 

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	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	AP Ranking
1	Texas	3-0	+1	57.2	1
2	Tennessee	3-0	-1	56.7	6
3	Alabama	3-0	+1	53.3	4
4	Ohio State	2-0	-1	52.7	3
5	Miami (FL)	3-0	+1	52.2	8
6	Mississippi	3-0	-1	51.5	5
7	Notre Dame	2-1	+8	48.3	17
8	Southern California	2-0	0	45.2	11
9	Penn State	2-0	0	44.9	10
10	Oregon	3-0	+7	43.5	9
11	Georgia	3-0	-4	42.9	2
12	Clemson	1-1	0	40.9	21
13	Louisville	2-0	+1	40.4	19
14	Utah	3-0	-4	39.6	12
15	Central Florida	3-0	-4	38.8	38
16	Boston College	2-1	-3	38.7	30
17	Texas A&M	2-1	+8	37.7	25
18	Oklahoma	3-0	0	37.4	15
19	Kansas State	3-0	+1	37.3	13
20	Louisiana State	2-1	+8	36.7	16
21	Baylor	2-1	+3	36.5	#N/A
22	Georgia Tech	3-1	-3	35.9	#N/A
23	Oklahoma State	3-0	-2	35.5	14
24	Missouri	3-0	+8	35.3	7
25	Iowa	2-1	-2	35.2	33
133	Kent State	0-3	0	-12.5	#N/A

First Top 25 Rankings of the Year

                                     

Not totally done working out all the automation kinks in the predictive part of the metric, but we were able to get the record keeping and ranking evaluation tool totally automated and up to date. Here are the first top 25 Aggregate power rankings of the year. Hopefully predictions are coming soon. One note, Change in the table below is tracking the teams ranking change since the start of the year. 

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	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	AP Ranking
1	Tennessee	2-0	+18	57.0	7
2	Texas	2-0	+3	56.7	2
3	Ohio State	2-0	+1	52.7	3
4	Alabama	2-0	+12	50.8	4
5	Mississippi	2-0	+1	50.7	5
6	Miami (FL)	2-0	+7	47.6	10
7	Georgia	2-0	-5	46.2	1
8	Southern California	2-0	+19	45.2	11
9	Penn State	2-0	-2	44.9	8
10	Utah	2-0	+7	42.5	12
11	Central Florida	2-0	+25	41.1	T42
12	Clemson	1-1	-1	40.9	22
13	Boston College	2-0	+32	40.8	24
14	Louisville	2-0	+12	40.4	19
15	Notre Dame	1-1	-12	40.0	18
16	Michigan	1-1	-4	39.8	17
17	Oregon	2-0	-16	38.0	9
18	Oklahoma	2-0	-9	37.6	15
19	Georgia Tech	2-1	+23	37.2	#N/A
20	Kansas State	2-0	+5	36.9	14
21	Oklahoma State	2-0	+10	36.4	13
22	South Carolina	2-0	+16	36.2	#N/A
23	Iowa	1-1	0	36.1	32
24	Baylor	1-1	+37	35.8	#N/A
25	Texas A&M	1-1	-15	35.7	28
133	Kent State	0-2	0	-12.6	#N/A