Conference Ranks Through Week 8

This is a metric we keep each week, but had not published until now. The following is a breakdown of each conferences strength based on the average rating of their teams in the Aggregate. Also included is the average rank of their teams although it is not included as part of the formula for ranking them. 

CFB Top Conferences
Rank	Conference	Average Rating	Average Rank	Teams in the Top 25
1	SEC	37.5	26	9
2	Big 10	34.4	33	7
3	ACC	30.2	45	4
4	Big 12	29.2	46	3
5	Pac 2	23.2	69	0
6	FBS Ind	21.5	69	1
7	Mountain West	14.6	88	0
8	Sun Belt	14.2	92	0
9	AAC	12.7	93	0
10	MAC	7.2	107	0
11	CUSA	5.2	109	0

Audible from Amazon

Week 9 Top 25

Week 9 rankings are out for the Aggregate. Texas remains on top, South Carolina gains big, Iowa drops and Boise State still gets no love.

The Longhorns may be the biggest story of this week's top 25 as the Longhorns despite a disappointing loss to Georgia remains as the Aggregate's number one team. The Aggregate did lower Texas's rating by almost 3 points, but it wasn't enough to knock them from the top spot. Oregon who sits in the top spot in the AP is still only 10th in the Aggregate ranks. Many now have Georgia over Texas, but the Aggregate still has the Dawgs ranked 8th. Their rating did go up 3.1 points.

Longhorn Shirts on Amazon

The biggest mover this week was South Carolina who jumped 9 spots up to 14th in the Aggregate rankings. The Gamecocks had an impressive victory over Oklahoma 35-9. South Carolina gained four points in their rating.

Felt Christmas Tree for Kids

The biggest team on the decline was Iowa. The Hawkeyes lost to Michigan State (66th) 32-20. This dropped the Hawkeyes 8 spots to 22nd in the Aggregate rankings. 

Boise State did not make the Aggregate's top 25. In fact they are not the Aggregate's highest rated group of five school. UNLV, whom the Broncos play this week, is rated slightly higher than Boise. That game will determine much for who gets into the college football playoff and it will certainly effect how the Aggregate sees each team.

 

	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	AP Ranking
1	Texas	6-1	0	53.5	5
2	Ohio State	5-1	0	53.2	4
3	Tennessee	6-1	0	50.1	7
4	Miami (FL)	7-0	0	49.1	6
5	Notre Dame	6-1	0	48.6	12
6	Mississippi	5-2	0	48.4	18
7	Alabama	5-2	0	46.2	15
8	Georgia	6-1	+2	45.7	2
9	Clemson	6-1	-1	44.0	9
10	Oregon	7-0	-1	43.4	1
11	Indiana	7-0	+8	42.1	13
12	Penn State	6-0	-1	41.6	3
13	Louisiana State	6-1	+3	40.7	8
14	South Carolina	4-3	+9	38.9	30
15	Southern California	3-4	-3	38.8	NR
16	Texas A&M	6-1	-3	38.3	14
17	Louisville	4-3	0	38.1	NR
18	Kansas State	6-1	+7	37.6	16
19	Iowa State	7-0	-4	37.2	10
20	Wisconsin	5-2	0	36.7	NR
21	Virginia Tech	4-3	0	36.3	NR
22	Iowa	4-3	-8	36.1	NR
23	Florida	4-3	+5	35.7	NR
24	Brigham Young	7-0	0	35.4	11
25	Southern Methodist	6-1	+6	34.2	22
133	Kennesaw State	0-6	-1	-12.1	NR

Week 8 CFB Predictions

Finally we have completed the first full predictions for the Aggregate for the season. We know it's a little late, but we have made enormous strides on not only making the predictive metrics better and more accurate, but also automating as much as possible to enable a more streamlined process. 

Give the gift of Audible

Week Eight CFB Predictions
Teams	Record	Score Prediction	Chance to Win	Vegas Line	O/U	Moneyline
Tuesday, October 15th
Troy	1-5	42	46.9%			340
South Alabama	2-4	45	53.1%	-13.5	56.5	-440
Kennesaw State	0-5	31	51.4%			285
Middle Tennessee State	1-5	38	48.6%	-10	50	-360
Louisiana Tech	2-4	39	61.2%	-11.5	48	-440
New Mexico State	1-5	33	38.8%			340
Wednesday, October 16th
Western Kentucky	4-2	36	55.1%	-1	55	114
Sam Houston	5-1	40	44.9%			-135
Florida International	2-3	33	69.4%	-3.5	50	-225
Texas-El Paso	0-6	28	30.6%			185
Thursday, October 17th
Georgia State	2-3	34	45.2%			260
Marshall	3-3	38	54.8%	-7	53.5	-325
Boston College	4-2	30	42.9%			215
Virginia Tech	3-3	35	57.1%	-7	50	-265
Friday, October 18th
Florida State	1-5	24	28.6%			130
Duke	5-1	31	71.4%	-3	42.5	-155
Oregon	6-0	40	93.9%	-29.5	58.5	-4500
Purdue	1-5	6	6.1%			1700
Oklahoma State	3-3	24	30.6%			270
Brigham Young	6-0	36	69.4%	-7.5	55.5	-340
Fresno State	3-3	39	50.0%	-4	51.5	-155
Nevada	3-4	41	50.0%			130
Saturday, October 19th
Wake Forest	2-4	35	34.7%	-4.5	57.5	-105
Connecticut	4-2	45	65.3%			-115
East Carolina	3-3	14	6.1%			575
Army	6-0	40	93.9%	-13.5	52	-850
Miami (FL)	6-0	40	59.2%			-180
Louisville	4-2	33	40.8%	-1	59.5	150
Louisiana	5-1	39	44.9%	-3	55.5	-175
Coastal Carolina	4-2	42	55.1%			145
Virginia	4-2	24	10.2%			850
Clemson	5-1	43	89.8%	-21	57.5	-1450
Arizona State	5-1	35	46.9%			114
Cincinnati	4-2	33	53.1%	-3	53.5	-135
UCLA	1-5	30	28.6%			210
Rutgers	4-2	35	71.4%	-7.5	40.5	-258
Wisconsin	4-2	31	53.1%	-7	41	-238
Northwestern	3-3	27	46.9%			195
Auburn	2-4	31	42.9%			250
Missouri	5-1	33	57.1%	-10	51.5	-310
Nebraska	5-1	31	36.7%			154
Indiana	6-0	38	63.3%	-3.5	51.5	-185
South Carolina	3-3	30	40.8%			114
Oklahoma	4-2	34	59.2%	-7.5	40.5	-135
Tulsa	2-4	31	28.6%	PK		102
Temple	1-5	44	71.4%	PK	52.5	-122
Central Michigan	3-2	36	47.6%			110
Eastern Michigan	4-2	38	52.4%	-1.5	55	-130
Ohio	4-2	21	24.5%			150
Miami (OH)	2-4	34	75.5%	-4.5	43.5	-180
Western Michigan	3-3	24	30.6%	-1	49.5	-115
Buffalo	4-2	36	69.4%			-105
Texas State	4-2	36	77.6%	-7.5	61.5	-360
Old Dominion	2-4	26	22.4%			285
Charlotte	3-3	17	21.4%			600
Navy	5-0	44	78.6%	-16.5	56.5	-900
Alabama	5-1	37	44.9%	-2	56	-142
Tennessee	5-1	43	55.1%			120
Notre Dame	5-1	37	80.4%	-8.5	50.5	-298
Georgia Tech	5-2	24	19.6%			240
Kent State	0-6	8	0.0%			850
Bowling Green	2-4	43	100.0%	-24.5	57.5	-1450
Toledo	4-2	27	53.1%			102
Northern Illinois	4-2	29	46.9%	-1	45.5	-122
Alabama-Birmingham	1-5	27	18.4%			370
South Florida	2-4	47	81.6%	-16	57.5	-485
Michigan	4-2	27	51.0%	-2	42	-115
Illinois	5-1	26	49.0%			-105
North Carolina State	3-4	21	19.6%			320
California	3-3	38	80.4%	-9.5	46.5	-410
Houston	2-4	27	38.8%			195
Kansas	1-5	37	61.2%	-8.5	46.5	-238
Rice	2-4	10	8.2%			1000
Tulane	4-2	45	91.8%	-23.5	53.5	-1800
Florida Atlantic	2-4	34	49.0%			160
Texas-San Antonio	2-4	35	51.0%	-6	55.5	-192
Hawaii	2-4	14	10.2%			750
Washington State	5-1	36	89.8%	-19.5	55.5	-1200
James Madison	5-1	45	65.3%	-4.5	60	-395
Georgia Southern	4-2	37	34.7%			310
Baylor	2-4	36	49.0%			195
Texas Tech	5-1	34	51.0%	-7.5	57.5	-238
Southern California	3-3	37	73.5%	-6.5	56.5	-270
Maryland	3-3	23	26.5%			220
New Mexico	2-4	47	55.1%	-2.5	77	-135
Utah State	1-5	45	44.9%			114
Wyoming	1-5	14	6.1%			330
San Jose State	4-2	35	93.9%	-11	49.5	-425
Colorado	4-2	34	55.1%			142
Arizona	3-3	27	44.9%	-4	56	-170
Texas A&M	5-1	37	75.5%	-15	56	-600
Mississippi State	1-5	21	24.5%			440
Ball State	2-4	9	6.1%			2500
Vanderbilt	4-2	45	93.9%	-24.5	58.5	-9000
Louisiana State	5-1	37	44.9%	-9	57.5	-148
Arkansas	4-2	38	55.1%			124
Arkansas State	3-3	31	59.2%	-7	53.5	-278
Southern Mississippi	1-5	27	40.8%			225
Central Florida	3-3	19	22.4%			400
Iowa State	6-0	33	77.6%	-10	47.5	-535
Kansas State	5-1	38	46.9%	-2.5	54	-148
West Virginia	3-3	41	53.1%			124
North Texas	5-1	26	28.6%			340
Memphis	5-1	44	71.4%	-12.5	67	-440
Georgia	5-1	23	20.4%	-1.5		114
Texas	6-0	42	79.6%		55	-135
Iowa	4-2	34	77.6%	-6		-258
Michigan State	3-3	21	22.4%		41.5	210
Kentucky	3-3	30	51.0%	-1		105
Florida	3-3	31	49.0%		42	-125
Colorado State	3-3	33	61.2%	-8		-298
Air Force	1-5	30	38.8%		46.5	240
Southern Methodist	5-1	42	65.3%	-14		-625
Stanford	2-4	31	34.7%		55.5	455
Nevada-Las Vegas	5-1	42	67.3%	-4		-205
Oregon State	4-2	30	32.7%		61.5	170
Texas Christian	3-3	31	32.7%			210
Utah	4-2	42	67.3%	-7.5	51.5	-258