Week 13 Predictions

 

Week 13 Predictions.

Week Thirteen CFB Predictions
Teams	Record	Score Prediction	Chance to Win	Vegas Line	O/U	Moneyline
Tuesday, November 19th
Akron	2-8	36	69.4%	-9.5		-375
Kent State	0-10	28	30.6%	+9.5	50	+295
Western Michigan	5-5	42	50.4%	-7.5		-298
Central Michigan	3-7	40	49.6%	+7.5	54	+240
Northern Illinois	6-4	26	35.5%	+3.5		+142
Miami (OH)	6-4	29	64.5%	-3.5	44	-170
Wednesday, November 20th
Ohio	7-3	31	43.0%	+3.0		+124
Toledo	7-3	38	57.0%	-3.0	51	-148
Buffalo	6-4	42	48.8%	+1.5		+105
Eastern Michigan	5-5	43	51.2%	-1.5	54	-125
Thursday, November 21st
North Carolina State	5-5	24	20.7%	+9.5		+260
Georgia Tech	6-4	39	79.3%	-9.5	53	-325
Friday, November 22nd
Temple	3-7	33	28.9%	+15.5		+500
Texas-San Antonio	5-5	43	71.1%	-15.5	56	-700
Purdue	1-9	21	22.3%	+14.5		+400
Michigan State	4-6	37	77.7%	-14.5	48.5	-535
Nevada-Las Vegas	8-2	40	66.9%	-7.5		-285
San Jose State	6-4	30	33.1%	+7.5	63.5	+230
Saturday, November 23rd
Southern Methodist	9-1	38	63.6%	-9.5		-345
Virginia	5-5	33	36.4%	+9.5	58	+275
Sam Houston	8-2	36	40.5%	+6.5		+195
Jacksonville State	7-3	41	59.5%	-6.5	55	-238
Wake Forest	4-6	15	0.0%	+24.0		+1300
Miami (FL)	9-1	45	100.0%	-24.0	65	-2800
North Carolina	6-4	33	34.7%	-3.5		-125
Boston College	5-5	39	65.3%	+3.5	56	+105
Mississippi	8-2	40	80.2%	-6.5		-375
Florida	5-5	26	19.8%	+6.5	55.5	+295
Connecticut	7-3	27	37.2%	+11.5		+270
Syracuse	7-3	36	62.8%	-11.5	54	-340
Iowa	6-4	38	68.6%	-7.0		-238
Maryland	4-6	26	31.4%	+7.0	45.5	+195
Indiana	10-0	30	28.1%	+11.5		+330
Ohio State	9-1	40	71.9%	-11.5	51.5	-425
Illinois	7-3	33	58.7%	+1.0		-110
Rutgers	6-4	28	41.3%	-1.0	47	-110
Massachusetts	2-8	0	0.8%	+45.5
Georgia	8-2	43	99.2%	-45.5	57	N/A
Western Kentucky	7-3	33	63.6%	-1.0		-120
Liberty	7-3	24	36.4%	+1.0	56.5	even
Texas-El Paso	2-8	0	0.0%	+41.5
Tennessee	8-2	44	100.0%	-41.5	55	N/A
Charelston Southern	1-10	0	0.0%	N/A
Florida State	1-9	51	100.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Bowling Green	6-4	37	80.2%	-10.0		-440
Ball State	3-7	21	19.8%	+10.0	58	+340
Rice	3-7	42	54.5%	-6.5		-258
Alabama-Birmingham	2-8	40	45.5%	+6.5	N/A	+210
James Madison	8-2	44	73.6%	-7.0		-250
Appalachian State	4-5	26	26.4%	+7.0	60.5	+205
New Mexico State	2-8	33	44.6%	+4.5		+154
Middle Tennessee State	3-7	35	55.4%	-4.5	50.5	-185
Charlotte	3-7	40	47.1%	PK		-135
Florida Atlantic	2-8	43	52.9%	PK	47.5	+114
Florida International	3-7	33	63.6%	-9.5		-325
Kennesaw State	1-9	26	36.4%	+9.5	44	+260
Arizona	4-6	25	33.9%	+9.5		+310
Texas Christian	6-4	38	66.1%	-9.5	58.5	-395
South Alabama	5-5	43	82.6%	-21.5		-2100
Southern Mississippi	1-9	23	17.4%	+21.5	55.5	+1100
Louisiana-Monroe	5-5	35	53.7%	+5.0		+145
Arkansas State	6-4	33	46.3%	-5.0	52	-175
Georgia Southern	6-4	34	53.7%	+1.5		+105
Coastal Carolina	5-5	33	46.3%	-1.5	57	-125
Central Florida	4-6	37	48.8%	-2.5		-135
West Virginia	5-5	38	51.2%	+2.5	64.5	+114
Colorado	8-2	34	48.8%	-2.5		-135
Kansas	4-6	33	51.2%	+2.5	59.5	+114
Tulsa	3-7	21	9.9%	+14.0		+525
South Florida	5-5	47	90.1%	-14.0	59.5	-750
Wisconsin	5-5	33	46.3%	+1.5		+105
Nebraska	5-5	31	53.7%	-1.5	42.5	-125
Penn State	9-1	30	70.2%	-10.0		-455
Minnesota	6-4	21	29.8%	+10.0	46	+350
Northwestern	4-6	20	24.0%	+13.5		+400
Michigan	5-5	31	76.0%	-13.5	38.5	-535
San Diego State	3-7	36	46.3%	+4.5		+170
Utah State	3-7	38	53.7%	-4.5	62.5	-205
Brigham Young	9-1	32	47.1%	+1.0		+130
Arizona State	8-2	33	52.9%	-1.0	49	-155
Stanford	3-7	24	23.1%	+13.0		+440
California	5-5	40	76.9%	-13.0	55.5	-600
Kentucky	4-6	6	13.2%	+21.0		+850
Texas	9-1	36	86.8%	-21.0	46.5	-1450
Texas Tech	6-4	42	43.8%	-4.0		-166
Oklahoma State	3-7	44	56.2%	+4.0	68.5	+140
East Carolina	6-4	40	38.0%	-2.5		+120
North Texas	5-5	45	62.0%	+2.5	72.5	-142
The Citadel	5-6	0	0.0%	N/A		N/A
Clemson	8-2	58	100.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pittsburgh	7-3	28	23.1%	+7.5		+225
Louisville	6-4	38	76.9%	-7.5	56.5	-278
Louisiana Tech	4-7	6	11.4%	+23.5		+900
Arkansas	5-5	35	88.6%	-23.5	50.5	-1600
Wofford	5-6	0	0.0%	N/A		N/A
South Carolina	7-3	57	100.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Missouri	7-3	36	57.9%	-6.5		-285
Mississippi State	2-8	33	42.1%	+6.5	56.5	+230
Troy	3-7	27	28.9%	+10.5		+340
Louisiana	8-2	36	71.1%	-10.5	53	-440
Georgia State	2-8	16	9.9%	+17.0		+700
Texas State	6-4	40	90.1%	-17.0	58.5	-1100
Baylor	6-4	35	68.6%	-6.5		-270
Houston	4-6	21	31.4%	+6.5	50	+220
Boise State	9-1	38	91.7%	-22.5		-2100
Wyoming	2-8	11	8.3%	+22.5	57.5	+1100
Washington State	8-2	38	71.1%	-12.5		-550
Oregon State	4-6	28	28.9%	+12.5	56.5	+410
Army	9-0	13	10.0%	+15.5		+500
Notre Dame	9-1	35	90.0%	-15.5	43.5	-700
Marshall	7-3	28	38.8%	-2.0		-105
Old Dominion	4-6	34	61.2%	+2.0	51.5	-115
Iowa State	8-2	28	70.2%	+10.0		-230
Utah	4-6	21	29.8%	-10.0	43	+190
Texas A&M	8-2	30	54.5%	-3.5		-142
Auburn	4-6	27	45.5%	+3.5	47	+120
Alabama	8-2	36	86.8%	-2.0		-600
Oklahoma	5-5	16	13.2%	+2.0	48.5	+440
Vanderbilt	6-4	24	29.8%	+11.0		+245
Louisiana State	6-4	36	70.2%	-11.0	54.5	-305
Virginia Tech	5-5	33	61.2%	-2.5		-130
Duke	7-3	28	38.8%	+2.5	48.5	+110
Cincinnati	5-5	28	27.3%	+8.5		+235
Kansas State	7-3	39	72.7%	-8.5	52.5	-290
Air Force	3-7	28	33.3%	+3.5		+140
Nevada	3-8	37	66.7%	-3.5	45.5	-166
Southern California	5-5	34	76.0%	-4.5		-175
UCLA	4-6	24	24.0%	+4.5	50.5	+145
Colorado State	7-3	31	35.5%	+1.0		-105
Fresno State	5-5	39	64.5%	-1.0	50.5	-115

Top 25 Week 13

 Top 25 for Week 13. The Aggregate has no changes at the top leaving the first five spots untouched. 

Biggest mover this week was Tulane who jumped 7 spots to get to #23. This is extremely rare for non-power 5 schools in the aggregate model. 

BYU was the team that fell the furthest this week dropping four spots after their first loss. The Cougars will have to be on upset watch again this Saturday against Kansas. 

Other notables that the Aggregate considers Top 25 teams include, Iowa (14), USC (15), Louisville (16), LSU (19), VaTech (21), Florida (24) and Baylor (25). When looking at these teams it's important to remember that the Aggregate's top 25 is not a deserved based system. Instead the metric works off of what team would actually be favored on the field. These rankings are very similar to how rankings would look if based on Vegas favorites and betting lines. 

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	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	CFP Ranking
1	Texas	9-1	0	51.8	3
2	Notre Dame	9-1	0	51.4	6
3	Mississippi	8-2	0	50.7	9
4	Ohio State	9-1	0	50.4	2
5	Alabama	8-2	0	50.3	7
6	Miami (FL)	9-1	+1	46.3	8
7	Georgia	8-2	+2	46.2	10
8	Tennessee	8-2	-2	45.8	11
9	Oregon	11-0	-1	45.0	1
10	Penn State	9-1	0	44.5	4
11	Indiana	10-0	0	43.2	5
12	Clemson	8-2	+1	41.7	17
13	South Carolina	7-3	-1	41.3	18
14	Iowa	6-4	+1	38.7	NR
15	Southern California	5-5	+1	37.5	NR
16	Louisville	6-4	-2	37.4	NR
17	Texas A&M	8-2	0	36.7	15
18	Colorado	8-2	+4	35.9	16
19	Louisiana State	6-4	-1	35.7	NR
20	Southern Methodist	9-1	+1	35.7	13
21	Virginia Tech	5-5	-1	35.6	NR
22	Tulane	9-2	+7	35.5	20
23	Brigham Young	9-1	-4	35.0	14
24	Florida	5-5	+1	34.8	NR
25	Baylor	6-4	+3	34.6	NR
133	Kent State	0-10	0	-14.0	NR