The reason that the Aggregate failed this week was Florida State. The Seminoles deeply saddened us this week with a poor performance against Georgia Tech although Tech looked good especially that defense. The Aggregate uses three different off-season ratings or evaluation tools to try and give us a range of how good a team might be coming into the next season. That information told us that Florida State was a 100% lock in winning Saturday's first game, but clearly that was wrong. It will be back to the drawing board for our preseason evaluations although we're still reserving some judgement till after week one. In fairness we did warn that early season calculations are notoriously unreliable because of the lack of data about each team. This proved too true so we hope you didn't bet your bank roll on our week 0 picks.
We will say this despite going 2-2 we were pretty proud of our data about New Mexico. The Lobos didn't win their game against Montana State, but they came very close and our data indicated it would be a closer contest than people expected. The same thing happened with the Hawaii game although in that case the Aggregate picked the Rainbow Warriors to get the victory in both our score prediction and chance to win category. Unfortunately the data indicates not that Delaware State is improved, but more that Hawaii is not very good.
The other area the Aggregate struggled at this week was the SMU game. Like many experts we saw SMU as a heavy favorite against the Nevada Wolf Pack, but the Mustangs just barely pulled out a win.
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Official stats from the week:
The Aggregate:
Moneyline: 2-2 (2 bets, lost 1% of our bankroll for the season)
Against The Spread: 2-2
Over/Under: 2-2
Other Entities Moneyline:
Vegas Line: 3-1
ESPN FPI: 2-2
Sagarin: 3-1
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