Week 14 Friday Predictions

 Week 14 Friday Predictions. The Aggregate has predicted three upsets on the day. 

The Aggregate likes Minnesota over Wisconsin in the battle for Paul Bunyan's axe. Vegas announced the Badgers as a two point favorite when the betting line was announced. The Aggregate data tells us that the Badgers have a higher ceiling than the Gophers, but overall the Gophers have been more consistent on the season and don't have as bad of performances as Wisconsin which is why the Aggregate gives Minnesota the slight edge. 

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The next upset the Aggregate likes is Navy winning at East Carolina. Vegas installed ECU as a one point favorite coming into the week. The Pirates have excelled since firing their head coach, but the Aggregate see's Navy as just too powerful to go in and lose giving them a 62.9% chance to win. The Aggregate data also does not like the loss of ECU's head coach. Statistically speaking the loss of a head coach is almost always harmful to a teams overall strength. ECU is trying to be the exception to that rule. 

Lastly the Aggregate likes Texas State to go to South Alabama and win. Both of these teams have been up and down this year, but the Aggregate gives the slight edge to Texas State in this game. The data tells us that the Jaguars have been slightly more consistent than the Bobcats this season, but the Bobcats have a better point differential against a harder schedule. 

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Week Fourteen CFB Predictions
Teams	Record	Score Prediction	Chance to Win	Vegas Line	O/U	Moneyline
Tuesday, November 26th
Kent State	0-11	17	15.3%	+21.5		+900
Buffalo	7-4	42	84.7%	-21.5	50.5	-1600
Toledo	7-4	36	79.2%	-9.5		-310
Akron	3-8	20	20.8%	+9.5	48.5	+250
Thursday, November 28th
Memphis	9-2	30	24.3%	+12.5		+380
Tulane	9-2	46	75.7%	-12.5	56.5	-500
Friday, November 29th
Ball State	3-8	23	16.7%	+13.5		+425
Ohio	8-3	40	83.3%	-13.5	53	-575
Miami (OH)	7-4	24	43.8%	+3.0		+124
Bowling Green	7-4	30	56.3%	-3.0	43	-148
Oklahoma State	3-8	26	27.1%	+16.5		+525
Colorado	8-3	41	72.9%	-16.5	64.5	-750
Minnesota	6-5	34	59.0%	+2.0		+105
Wisconsin	5-6	30	41.0%	-2.0	44	-125
Oregon State	5-6	21	18.1%	+18.5		+675
Boise State	10-1	42	81.9%	-18.5	55.5	-1050
Navy	7-3	41	62.9%	+1.0		-115
East Carolina	7-4	31	37.1%	-1.0	56.5	-105
Texas State	6-5	39	58.3%	+1.0		-105
South Alabama	6-5	33	41.7%	-1.0	62.5	-115
Mississippi State	2-9	13	4.9%	+27.5		+1400
Mississippi	8-3	45	95.1%	-27.5	61.5	-3200
Liberty	8-3	21	37.5%	-1.0		-130
Sam Houston	8-3	30	62.5%	+1.0	47	+110
Utah State	4-7	37	38.2%	+7.0		+180
Colorado State	7-4	40	61.8%	-7.0	60.5	-218
Stanford	3-8	34	42.4%	+1.5		even
San Jose State	6-5	36	57.6%	-1.5	54.5	-120
Nebraska	6-5	24	29.9%	+4.0		+154
Iowa	7-4	37	70.1%	-4.0	39	-185
Georgia Tech	7-4	20	22.2%	+20.5		+800
Georgia	9-2	34	77.8%	-20.5	54.5	-1350
Utah	4-7	31	33.3%	+4.5		+240
Central Florida	4-7	40	66.7%	-4.5	48.5	-298