Week 9 Predictions

 The Aggregate's week 9 predictions. 

Week Nine CFB Predictions
Teams	Record	Score Prediction	Chance to Win	Vegas Line	O/U	Moneyline
Tuesday, October 22nd
Sam Houston	5-2	36	70.3%	-8.5		-245
Florida International	2-4	23	29.7%		47	200
Texas-El Paso	1-6	31	28.1%			240
Louisiana Tech	2-4	37	71.9%	-7.5	51	-298
Wednesday, October 23rd
Liberty	5-0	32	76.2%	-22.5		-3600
Kennesaw State	0-6	14	23.8%		47	1500
Middle Tennessee State	2-5	23	12.5%			1500
Jacksonville State	3-3	51	87.5%	-21.5	63.5	-3600
Thursday, October 24th
Georgia Southern	5-2	34	46.9%	PK		105
Old Dominion	3-4	38	53.1%	PK	54	-125
Syracuse	5-1	30	40.8%			154
Pittsburgh	6-0	37	59.2%	-3.5	60	-185
Friday, October 25th
Louisville	4-3	36	70.3%	-6.5		-258
Boston College	4-3	30	29.7%		54	210
Boise State	5-1	40	55.4%	-2.5		-135
Nevada-Las Vegas	6-1	42	44.6%		66.5	114
Rutgers	4-3	20	14.1%			440
Southern California	3-4	36	85.9%	-13.5	54	-600
Saturday, October 26th
North Carolina	3-4	27	20.3%			195
Virginia	4-3	41	79.7%	-5	60.5	-238
Georgia Tech	5-3	31	40.3%			300
Virginia Tech	4-3	35	59.7%	-7.5	52.5	-380
Buffalo	4-3	35	43.8%			180
Ohio	4-3	37	56.3%	-6.5	46	-218
Notre Dame	6-1	36	85.7%	-17		-700
Navy	6-0	16	14.3%		52	500
Washington	4-3	30	31.3%			195
Indiana	7-0	40	68.8%	-7	52	-238
Oklahoma	4-3	24	10.9%			850
Mississippi	5-2	43	89.1%	-6	48	-1450
Tulane	5-2	49	65.6%	-8		-410
North Texas	5-2	31	34.4%		65	320
Charlotte	3-4	14	18.8%			1100
Memphis	6-1	40	81.3%	-19.5	57.5	-2100
Nebraska	5-2	13	0.0%			1800
Ohio State	5-1	42	100.0%	-25.5	49	-5000
Arkansas	4-3	38	64.1%	-8.5		-345
Mississippi State	1-6	30	35.9%		57.5	275
Georgia State	2-4	42	57.1%			230
Appalachian State	2-4	36	42.9%	-4.5	63	-285
Central Michigan	3-3	23	19.6%			390
Miami (OH)	3-4	37	80.4%	-10.5	46.5	-520
Temple	2-5	33	40.6%			275
East Carolina	3-4	36	59.4%	-10	48	-345
Bowling Green	3-4	30	43.8%			150
Toledo	5-2	33	56.3%	-3.5	47.5	-180
Brigham Young	7-0	34	53.1%	-1		-130
Central Florida	3-4	30	46.9%		54.5	110
Eastern Michigan	5-2	39	68.8%	-6		-230
Akron	1-6	31	31.3%		52	190
Southern Mississippi	1-6	13	10.9%			1100
James Madison	5-2	43	89.1%	-23	54	-2100
Northern Illinois	4-3	38	71.9%	-9.5		-395
Ball State	2-5	21	28.1%		49.5	310
Kent State	0-7	31	14.1%			600
Western Michigan	4-3	49	85.9%	-18.5	59.5	-900
Rice	2-5	23	23.4%			220
Connecticut	4-3	40	76.6%	-5	45.5	-270
Maryland	4-3	27	32.8%			170
Minnesota	4-3	35	67.2%	-2.5	46.5	-205
Texas Tech	5-2	35	39.1%			205
Texas Christian	4-3	39	60.9%	-4	67.5	-250
Oklahoma State	3-4	34	35.9%			145
Baylor	3-4	43	64.1%	-3	65	-175
Missouri	6-1	24	14.1%			390
Alabama	5-2	45	85.9%	-8.5	56.5	-520
Texas-San Antonio	3-4	38	75.0%	-6		-410
Tulsa	2-5	28	25.0%		55.5	320
Wake Forest	3-4	36	51.6%			-130
Stanford	2-5	38	48.4%	-1.5	55	110
Northwestern	3-4	21	25.0%			500
Iowa	4-3	34	75.0%	-14	38	-700
Illinois	6-1	20	25.0%			1100
Oregon	7-0	33	75.0%	-21.5	55.5	-2100
Wagner	4-4	3	10.7%	N/A		N/A
Massachusetts	1-6	34	89.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Oregon State	4-3	23	21.9%			320
California	3-4	37	78.1%	-9	49	-410
Texas	6-1	38	85.9%	-$21.00		-1200
Vanderbilt	5-2	14	14.1%		53.5	750
Louisiana-Monroe	5-1	31	55.4%			225
South Alabama	3-4	30	44.6%	-$8.50	48.5	-278
New Mexico	3-4	37	48.4%			185
Colorado State	4-3	38	51.6%	-$7.00	65.5	-225
West Virginia	3-4	37	70.3%			110
Arizona	3-4	28	29.7%	-1	54.5	-130
Florida State	1-6	13	6.3%	-1		850
Miami (FL)	7-0	40	93.8%		55	-1450
Troy	1-6	37	51.6%			225
Arkansas State	4-3	36	48.4%	-8.5	52.5	-278
Utah	4-3	30	59.4%	-6		-192
Houston	2-5	24	40.6%		38	160
Utah State	1-6	37	50.0%			114
Wyoming	1-6	36	50.0%	-3.5	54.5	-135
Michigan State	4-3	27	37.5%			180
Michigan	4-3	33	62.5%	-24.5	41.5	-218
Louisiana State	6-1	35	48.4%			136
Texas A&M	6-1	36	51.6%	-3	54	-162
Penn State	6-0	33	60.7%	-6.5		-245
Wisconsin	5-2	29	39.3%		47.5	200
Auburn	2-5	28	40.6%			124
Kentucky	3-4	30	59.4%	-3.5	43	-148
Southern Methodist	6-1	36	64.1%	-10		-410
Duke	6-1	31	35.9%		48.5	320
Kansas	2-5	27	28.1%			275
Kansas State	6-1	38	71.9%	-7	56.5	-345
San Jose State	5-2	38	42.2%			195
Fresno State	4-3	41	57.8%	-7	54.5	-238
Cincinnati	5-2	31	46.9%			150
Colorado	5-2	37	53.1%	-3	57.5	-180
Washington State	6-1	33	76.8%	-14.5		-625
San Diego State	3-3	20	23.2%		55	455
Nevada	3-5	30	70.8%	-2.5		-135
Hawaii	2-5	20	29.2%		48	114

Conference Ranks Through Week 8

This is a metric we keep each week, but had not published until now. The following is a breakdown of each conferences strength based on the average rating of their teams in the Aggregate. Also included is the average rank of their teams although it is not included as part of the formula for ranking them. 

CFB Top Conferences
Rank	Conference	Average Rating	Average Rank	Teams in the Top 25
1	SEC	37.5	26	9
2	Big 10	34.4	33	7
3	ACC	30.2	45	4
4	Big 12	29.2	46	3
5	Pac 2	23.2	69	0
6	FBS Ind	21.5	69	1
7	Mountain West	14.6	88	0
8	Sun Belt	14.2	92	0
9	AAC	12.7	93	0
10	MAC	7.2	107	0
11	CUSA	5.2	109	0

Audible from Amazon

Week 9 Top 25

Week 9 rankings are out for the Aggregate. Texas remains on top, South Carolina gains big, Iowa drops and Boise State still gets no love.

The Longhorns may be the biggest story of this week's top 25 as the Longhorns despite a disappointing loss to Georgia remains as the Aggregate's number one team. The Aggregate did lower Texas's rating by almost 3 points, but it wasn't enough to knock them from the top spot. Oregon who sits in the top spot in the AP is still only 10th in the Aggregate ranks. Many now have Georgia over Texas, but the Aggregate still has the Dawgs ranked 8th. Their rating did go up 3.1 points.

Longhorn Shirts on Amazon

The biggest mover this week was South Carolina who jumped 9 spots up to 14th in the Aggregate rankings. The Gamecocks had an impressive victory over Oklahoma 35-9. South Carolina gained four points in their rating.

Felt Christmas Tree for Kids

The biggest team on the decline was Iowa. The Hawkeyes lost to Michigan State (66th) 32-20. This dropped the Hawkeyes 8 spots to 22nd in the Aggregate rankings. 

Boise State did not make the Aggregate's top 25. In fact they are not the Aggregate's highest rated group of five school. UNLV, whom the Broncos play this week, is rated slightly higher than Boise. That game will determine much for who gets into the college football playoff and it will certainly effect how the Aggregate sees each team.

 

	Top 25 and 1 Aggregate Power Ranking
Rank	Team	Record	Change	Rating	AP Ranking
1	Texas	6-1	0	53.5	5
2	Ohio State	5-1	0	53.2	4
3	Tennessee	6-1	0	50.1	7
4	Miami (FL)	7-0	0	49.1	6
5	Notre Dame	6-1	0	48.6	12
6	Mississippi	5-2	0	48.4	18
7	Alabama	5-2	0	46.2	15
8	Georgia	6-1	+2	45.7	2
9	Clemson	6-1	-1	44.0	9
10	Oregon	7-0	-1	43.4	1
11	Indiana	7-0	+8	42.1	13
12	Penn State	6-0	-1	41.6	3
13	Louisiana State	6-1	+3	40.7	8
14	South Carolina	4-3	+9	38.9	30
15	Southern California	3-4	-3	38.8	NR
16	Texas A&M	6-1	-3	38.3	14
17	Louisville	4-3	0	38.1	NR
18	Kansas State	6-1	+7	37.6	16
19	Iowa State	7-0	-4	37.2	10
20	Wisconsin	5-2	0	36.7	NR
21	Virginia Tech	4-3	0	36.3	NR
22	Iowa	4-3	-8	36.1	NR
23	Florida	4-3	+5	35.7	NR
24	Brigham Young	7-0	0	35.4	11
25	Southern Methodist	6-1	+6	34.2	22
133	Kennesaw State	0-6	-1	-12.1	NR